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Jan 17, 2013
01/13
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economy in 2013. real gdp growth in the nine states in the first half of 2013 before below 2% accelerating to 2.6% in the fourth quarter. the committee believes that the combination of tax hikes, a prolonged fight or the debt ceiling, and the possibility of severe spending cuts in 2013 have the potential to really stop this recovery in its tracks. one thing you will notice from our forecast table is that the recession probabilities from the committee are higher than normal. we still have the probability of a recession at 23% and for 2014, 20%. that is a little bit higher than what we typically see. we think the private sector is poised for sustainable growth. i think the housing numbers point to one area of strength, the housing market. the tax hikes at the start of 2013 will create a drag on gdp of at least 1.25%. the potential for additional budget and spending cuts from sequestration could add to the downside risks. we think resolving the debt ceiling in a timely manner and providing more clarity o
economy in 2013. real gdp growth in the nine states in the first half of 2013 before below 2% accelerating to 2.6% in the fourth quarter. the committee believes that the combination of tax hikes, a prolonged fight or the debt ceiling, and the possibility of severe spending cuts in 2013 have the potential to really stop this recovery in its tracks. one thing you will notice from our forecast table is that the recession probabilities from the committee are higher than normal. we still have the...
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Jan 20, 2013
01/13
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the state of the economy calls for action, bold and swift. we will act not only to create new jobs, but to lay a new foundation for growth. we will build the roads and bridges, the electric grids and digital lines that feed our commerce and bind us together. we'll restore science to its rightful place and wield technology's wonders to raise health care's quality and lower its costs. we'll harness harness the sun and the winds and the soil to fuel our cars and run our factories. and we will transform our schools and colleges and universities to meet the demands of a new age. all this we can do. all this we will do. now, there are some who question the scale of our ambitions, who suggest that our system cannot tolerate too many big plans. their memories are short. they have forgotten what this country has already done, what free men and women can achieve when imagination is joined to common purpose and necessity to courage. what the cynics that to understand is that the ground has shifted beneath them, that the stale political arguments that ha
the state of the economy calls for action, bold and swift. we will act not only to create new jobs, but to lay a new foundation for growth. we will build the roads and bridges, the electric grids and digital lines that feed our commerce and bind us together. we'll restore science to its rightful place and wield technology's wonders to raise health care's quality and lower its costs. we'll harness harness the sun and the winds and the soil to fuel our cars and run our factories. and we will...
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Jan 18, 2013
01/13
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economy in 2013. real gdp growth in the nine states in the first half of 2013 will be below 2% before accelerating to 2.6% in the fourth quarter. the committee believes that the combination of tax hikes, a prolonged fight over the debt ceiling, and the possibility of severe spending cuts in 2013 have the potential to really stop this recovery in its tracks. one thing you will notice from our forecast table is that the recession probabilities from the committee are higher than normal. we still have the probability of a recession at 23% and for 2014, 20%. that is a little bit higher than what we typically see. we think the private sector is poised for sustainable growth. i think the housing numbers point to one area of strength, the housing market. the tax hikes at the start of 2013 will create a drag on gdp of at least 1.25%. the potential for additional budget and spending cuts from sequestration could add to the downside risks. we think resolving the debt ceiling in a timely manner and providing more
economy in 2013. real gdp growth in the nine states in the first half of 2013 will be below 2% before accelerating to 2.6% in the fourth quarter. the committee believes that the combination of tax hikes, a prolonged fight over the debt ceiling, and the possibility of severe spending cuts in 2013 have the potential to really stop this recovery in its tracks. one thing you will notice from our forecast table is that the recession probabilities from the committee are higher than normal. we still...
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Jan 15, 2013
01/13
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we need to diversify our local economy in virginia. i hope we can work with both of our senators to get this done. host: we are talking with representative scott rigell. this is a headline in "the washington post." she talks about a new freshman class of republicans and your class as well that had been a headache for the speaker. there will be a test on tuesday. where do you come down on this? guest: i think we have been good for the speaker. i am not dodging the questione. everybody needs to shoot straight. i do not know how i will vote on the particular bill. it has only come out in the last day or so. we have not anticipated and planned for these type of natural disasters. you would think we would have budgeted enough. either we're not done a good estimates or we are spending far more than we should. i will be evaluating that. i know there will be some amendments. there are some things that i don't think most americans would not funded. therein lies the challenge. every bill we vote on on typically has some things that are good and
we need to diversify our local economy in virginia. i hope we can work with both of our senators to get this done. host: we are talking with representative scott rigell. this is a headline in "the washington post." she talks about a new freshman class of republicans and your class as well that had been a headache for the speaker. there will be a test on tuesday. where do you come down on this? guest: i think we have been good for the speaker. i am not dodging the questione. everybody...
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Jan 20, 2013
01/13
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federal spending is dragging our economy down rather than lifting our families up. it is time for democrats and republicans to work together to get our nation and families back on track. every family and every business has a budget. our nation should have a budget as well. every year, the president is required by law to submit a budget by february 4. for the fourth time in five years, they will be late to submitting a budget to your representatives. unfortunately, the president has missed more budget deadlines than any of his predecessors. aey're supposed to submit budget. 1361 days to be exact. this is not the result of washington gridlock. majority leader harry lee said it would be foolish to produce a budget. we disagreed. with more than $16 trillion in debt, we believe it is foolish to not have a budget. in the house, we believe we need to pass a budget on time. we need to moderate spending, a our bills, keep the government running. we need a plan to slowly on the but surely walk our nation out of debt, deficit, and decline. this debatealf, -- is often argued in
federal spending is dragging our economy down rather than lifting our families up. it is time for democrats and republicans to work together to get our nation and families back on track. every family and every business has a budget. our nation should have a budget as well. every year, the president is required by law to submit a budget by february 4. for the fourth time in five years, they will be late to submitting a budget to your representatives. unfortunately, the president has missed more...
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Jan 18, 2013
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host: the budget, economy, guns. presidentr from vice- biden in a few minutes as he addresses the gun issue. our phone lines are open. you can send us the e-mail or join us on our twitter page. let me ask you both about what is happening in number of other cities. harrisburg, pennsylvania. you talk about infrastructure. facing or discussing the possibility of bankruptcy. as you look at what other cities are dealing with, what lessons can you apply to your respective cities? guest: scranton, harrisburg, bernadine no -- san bernardino -- these are the exceptions. we are in fairly good financial shape. the biggest challenges we have a are the same as a lot of others. business, pension debt. that seems to be the one factor of many of these cities. host: how much goes to a pension? how much is taken off the top before you can do anything? guest: in most cities, 70% + goes to public safety or more. 70 plus percent side of any department -- you can imagine what that does to a city budget. in mesa, with a debate on the publi
host: the budget, economy, guns. presidentr from vice- biden in a few minutes as he addresses the gun issue. our phone lines are open. you can send us the e-mail or join us on our twitter page. let me ask you both about what is happening in number of other cities. harrisburg, pennsylvania. you talk about infrastructure. facing or discussing the possibility of bankruptcy. as you look at what other cities are dealing with, what lessons can you apply to your respective cities? guest: scranton,...
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Jan 17, 2013
01/13
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what it takes to sustain mobility, the economy, society. we can't ignore one by taking care of the other. there has to be a package deal. the simpson-bowles commission recognized it had to be part of the package. you have to demand that transportation be part of this overall solution that is put together and get into whether ideas have a better chance of enactment. but what our stance is, if you simply go to the republican caucus and say, let's raise taxes, they'll throw you out of the room. but if you go to them with a proposition, can we reduce the deficit of $150 billion? can we make the program pay its own way and can we sustain jobs and the solvency of the highway trust fund all in one, i think we'll have something to go on. again, thank you so much for the cary award. we value this and i appreciate the recognition and we want to commitment our -- continue our commitment to research and debate opportunity to share with you the thoughts on this idea. what you heard the secretary say is tony, jack and i are headed out the door. jack and
what it takes to sustain mobility, the economy, society. we can't ignore one by taking care of the other. there has to be a package deal. the simpson-bowles commission recognized it had to be part of the package. you have to demand that transportation be part of this overall solution that is put together and get into whether ideas have a better chance of enactment. but what our stance is, if you simply go to the republican caucus and say, let's raise taxes, they'll throw you out of the room....
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Jan 16, 2013
01/13
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that is such a serious threat to the economy of this country. credit agencies are saying once again the credit of this country is threatened. are we really going to put in jeopardy the full faith and credit of the united states of america? host: the credit agencies have said you also need to address spending. guest: it is balance verses in balance. host: junior, independent caller. caller: why do you stand there telling us stuff that you know it is not true? when are we going to see a budget from this administration? everything you said is untrue? where is the budget? this has been four years. guest: the administration has presented a budget every year. it is cannot correct to say we have not presented a budget. the house has presented budgets that almost no democrat could vote for. the senate has a 60-vote requirement has been unable to find common ground within their ranks. they have rejected the house republican budget. it is not correct to say the administration has not provided a budget. host: senate democrats. guest: it takes 60 votes. jun
that is such a serious threat to the economy of this country. credit agencies are saying once again the credit of this country is threatened. are we really going to put in jeopardy the full faith and credit of the united states of america? host: the credit agencies have said you also need to address spending. guest: it is balance verses in balance. host: junior, independent caller. caller: why do you stand there telling us stuff that you know it is not true? when are we going to see a budget...
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Jan 15, 2013
01/13
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i want to see our economy recover. i would like to see this -- stronger labor markets, fiscal policy address the issues that i mentioned. there are a lot of difficult issues out there. i do think things are moving, not as fast as we would like, but in the right direction. i am cautiously optimistic about the next couple of years. >> thank you. [applause]as i mentioned, i am sure that there are a great many questions that have already been shared with our presenters. let me turn the floor to them. quick thank you for your comments chairman bernanke. i am a masters student. the first question is this -- if treasury minted a trillion dollar platinum coin, with the fed have except did it -- accepted it? >> i am not going to give that any oxygen. as you probably know, the treasury and federal reserve -- the treasury issued a statement that we did not think this was the right way to deal with this problem. there are legal issues and policy issues. the right way to deal with this problem, as i said earlier, is for congress to
i want to see our economy recover. i would like to see this -- stronger labor markets, fiscal policy address the issues that i mentioned. there are a lot of difficult issues out there. i do think things are moving, not as fast as we would like, but in the right direction. i am cautiously optimistic about the next couple of years. >> thank you. [applause]as i mentioned, i am sure that there are a great many questions that have already been shared with our presenters. let me turn the floor...
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Jan 20, 2013
01/13
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last cycle, we more than quintupled the size of the economy -- our community. we're using technology to open our doors to another generation of women, and men, where we meet them. we reach them where they are. we help them understand what is at stake. we added in their voices to our movement. today, i am proud to say that emily's list is now more than two million members strong. let's make it 5 million in four years. let's do it. [applause] listt to see emily's expand its impact starting right now. i literally mean right now. immediately. join emily's list. there are a donor card that your table and there are candidates to leave you now. after all, we're in the business of winning elections. i have been in that business a while now. i have opened a lot of analysts from a family party lists of donors. i have seen a lot of polls. i have been backstage at concession speeches and i have helped make a few republicans give them. [applause] take it from me. winning matters. it is the difference between joe walsh and tammy duckworth. between todd akin and clair mccaski
last cycle, we more than quintupled the size of the economy -- our community. we're using technology to open our doors to another generation of women, and men, where we meet them. we reach them where they are. we help them understand what is at stake. we added in their voices to our movement. today, i am proud to say that emily's list is now more than two million members strong. let's make it 5 million in four years. let's do it. [applause] listt to see emily's expand its impact starting right...
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Jan 21, 2013
01/13
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because the economy has improved, we are moving forward, we can see a very different kind of tone but things are not perfect and there are other issues in the country. we are in a somewhat somber mood again. host: woodrow wilson did not hold inaugural balls because it was too somber occasion? guest: woodrow wilson was a very tough-minded political scientist. he is there one and only ph.d. to serve in the white house. some might say we are a bit on the staid side. i think he was also a somber personality. it is hard to find photographs of woodrow wilson looking charismatic and acted. part of it was that and we should remember that for his second inaugural, world war i was the context and that was serious and difficult times. host: we're talking with professor barbara parry and professor lucane as we continue to look at live pictures from around washington. about 800,000 is the estimate of people coming down to join the president for his ceremonial inauguration. he was officially and constitutionally inaugurated and sworn into office yesterday. today, it is ceremonial and we will begin
because the economy has improved, we are moving forward, we can see a very different kind of tone but things are not perfect and there are other issues in the country. we are in a somewhat somber mood again. host: woodrow wilson did not hold inaugural balls because it was too somber occasion? guest: woodrow wilson was a very tough-minded political scientist. he is there one and only ph.d. to serve in the white house. some might say we are a bit on the staid side. i think he was also a somber...
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Jan 19, 2013
01/13
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so it is a large and complex economy. i don't know if you want to talk about the broader economy or not, but we can come back to it if you like. we have been seeing some improvement in the labor market. it is still not where we would like to be. growth has been moderate. there are some positive signs to look at. one of the key positives is housing. as you know, house prices fell about 30% and the amount of construction fell extraordinarily over this recession. now for the first time since 2007 or 2006, we see increases in production. rising house prices will affect household wealth. that is what i hope will be a better year in 2013 and 2014. a few other things that are positive, just to point out, is that state and local governments which had been very contraction remote -- great contraction ary mode, they are in better shape than they were. as a result, they will not be a drag on the academy that they have been in the last few years. -- on the economy that they have been in the last few years. energy. consumers are more
so it is a large and complex economy. i don't know if you want to talk about the broader economy or not, but we can come back to it if you like. we have been seeing some improvement in the labor market. it is still not where we would like to be. growth has been moderate. there are some positive signs to look at. one of the key positives is housing. as you know, house prices fell about 30% and the amount of construction fell extraordinarily over this recession. now for the first time since 2007...
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Jan 18, 2013
01/13
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we're going to fight for a real economy. our economy has been hijacked -- we can talk about all the problems, talk endlessly about what i heard yesterday -- i heard about a woman yesterday. we heard about a real woman yesterday from michigan who actually chose to have her leg amputated because she could not afford the antibiotics in terms of taking care of her leg. she had her leg amputated because of money, because of money, because we do not have a health care system. it is a disgrace. the robin hood tax can generate $350 billion -- they have bipartisanship. they're keeping everything off the agenda that is important to us. they have bipartisanship on that. we cannot compromise our principles. we can compromise on taxes, the people have to say, line in the sand. learn that from the labor movement. say, this is a line that you do not cross. we want their jobs back. we want our pensions. we want to raise standards for everyone in america. nurses do not want to discriminate. we want a civil society. we want a society -- where
we're going to fight for a real economy. our economy has been hijacked -- we can talk about all the problems, talk endlessly about what i heard yesterday -- i heard about a woman yesterday. we heard about a real woman yesterday from michigan who actually chose to have her leg amputated because she could not afford the antibiotics in terms of taking care of her leg. she had her leg amputated because of money, because of money, because we do not have a health care system. it is a disgrace. the...
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Jan 19, 2013
01/13
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if we permit our economy to drift and decline, the vulnerable will suffer most. we must live up to the calling we share. civility is not a tactic or a sentiment. it is the determined choice of trust over cynicism, of community over chaos. and this commitment, if we keep it, is a way to shared accomplishment. america, at its best, is also courageous. our national courage has been clear in times of depression and war, when defending common dangers defined our common good. now we must choose if the example of our fathers and mothers will inspire us or condemn us. we must show courage in a time of blessing by confronting problems instead of passing them on to future generations. together, we will reclaim america's schools, before ignorance and apathy claim more young lives. we will reform social security and medicare, sparing our children from struggles we have the power to prevent. and we will reduce taxes, to recover the momentum of our economy and reward the effort and enterprise of working americans. we will build our defenses beyond challenge, lest weakness invi
if we permit our economy to drift and decline, the vulnerable will suffer most. we must live up to the calling we share. civility is not a tactic or a sentiment. it is the determined choice of trust over cynicism, of community over chaos. and this commitment, if we keep it, is a way to shared accomplishment. america, at its best, is also courageous. our national courage has been clear in times of depression and war, when defending common dangers defined our common good. now we must choose if...
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Jan 15, 2013
01/13
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economy. it would slow down our growth, might tip us into recession, and ironically, would probably increase our deficit. so to even entertain the idea of this happening -- of the united states of america not paying its bills -- is irresponsible. it's absurd. as the speaker said two years ago, it would be -- and i'm quoting speaker boehner now -- "a financial disaster, not only for us, but for the worldwide economy." so we've got to pay our bills. and republicans in congress have two choices here: they can act responsibly, and pay america's bills, or they can act irresponsibly, and put america through another economic crisis. but they will not collect a ransom in exchange for not crashing the american economy. the financial well-being of the american people is not leverage to be used. the full faith and credit of the united states of america is not a bargaining chip. and they better choose quickly, because time is running short. the last time republicans in congress even flirted with this idea
economy. it would slow down our growth, might tip us into recession, and ironically, would probably increase our deficit. so to even entertain the idea of this happening -- of the united states of america not paying its bills -- is irresponsible. it's absurd. as the speaker said two years ago, it would be -- and i'm quoting speaker boehner now -- "a financial disaster, not only for us, but for the worldwide economy." so we've got to pay our bills. and republicans in congress have two...
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Jan 15, 2013
01/13
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we need to diversify our local economy in virginia. i hope we can work with both of our senators to get this done. host: we are talking with representative scott rigell. this is a headline in "the washington post." she talks about a new freshman class of republicans and your class as well that had been a headache for the speaker. there will be a test on tuesday. where do you come down on this? guest: i think we have been good for the speaker. i am not dodging the questione. everybody needs to shoot straight. i do not know how i will vote on the particular bill. it has only come out in the last day or so. we have not anticipated and planned for these type of natural disasters. you would think we would have budgeted enough. either we're not done a good estimates or we are spending far more than we should. i will be evaluating that. i know there will be some amendments. there are some things that i don't think most americans would not funded. therein lies the challenge. every bill we vote on on typically has some things that are good and
we need to diversify our local economy in virginia. i hope we can work with both of our senators to get this done. host: we are talking with representative scott rigell. this is a headline in "the washington post." she talks about a new freshman class of republicans and your class as well that had been a headache for the speaker. there will be a test on tuesday. where do you come down on this? guest: i think we have been good for the speaker. i am not dodging the questione. everybody...
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Jan 14, 2013
01/13
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banks are an integral part of the economy. they finance new job growth and new companies and people being able to buy a home, which is typically the largest single investment they will ever make. banks are crucial to this entire process. we need them to be there to help consumers and businesses finance their operations. the balancing act is not being too strict so that they will draw in and not land but not being too lax. that is a fine line. we shall we shallthe cfpb has achieve that with these rules. financial institutions will complain about any regulation because they did not want to be subject to kinds of rules that instruct them in how to do their business. when you read the complaints from the financial industry, i would say we have to take some of those with a grain of salt. host: gretchen morgenson is the "the new york times" assistant business and financial editor. she was co-author of "reckless endangerment.' guest: who basically were the interco parties in creating the crisis decades later. host: don is next from c
banks are an integral part of the economy. they finance new job growth and new companies and people being able to buy a home, which is typically the largest single investment they will ever make. banks are crucial to this entire process. we need them to be there to help consumers and businesses finance their operations. the balancing act is not being too strict so that they will draw in and not land but not being too lax. that is a fine line. we shall we shallthe cfpb has achieve that with...
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Jan 15, 2013
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even the threat of default hurts our economy. it's hurting our economy as we speak. we shouldn't be having that debate. if we want to have a conversation about how to reduce our deficit, let's have that. we've been having that for the last two years. we just had an entire campaign about it. and by the way, the american people agreed with me that we should reduce our deficits in a balanced way that also takes into account the need for us to grow this economy and put people back to work. and despite that conversation, and despite the election results, the position that's been taken on the part of some house republicans is that, "no, we've got to do it our way, and if we don't, we simply won't pay america's bills." well, that can't be a position that is sustainable over time. it's not one that's good for the economy now. bes certainly not going to the kind of precedent that i want to establish not just for my presidency, but for future presidents, even if it was on the other side. democrats don't like voting for the debt ceiling when a republican is president, and yet y
even the threat of default hurts our economy. it's hurting our economy as we speak. we shouldn't be having that debate. if we want to have a conversation about how to reduce our deficit, let's have that. we've been having that for the last two years. we just had an entire campaign about it. and by the way, the american people agreed with me that we should reduce our deficits in a balanced way that also takes into account the need for us to grow this economy and put people back to work. and...